Counting began at 8 a.m. on May 4, 2026, with approximately 1.25 lakh security personnel ensuring a smooth process. The stakes are high: the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) seeks a second consecutive term, while the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) partners with the BJP in their bid for power.

The entry of C. Joseph Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) adds a fresh twist to this traditionally two-party contest. The primary contest remains between Chief Minister MK Stalin-led DMK and the AIADMK-BJP alliance, setting the stage for a potentially transformative election.

Predictions from exit polls suggest:

• DMK+ could secure between 92-110 seats
• TVK might achieve 98-120 seats
• AIADMK+ is projected to gain around 22-32 seats

The Phalodi Satta Bazar even predicts DMK could land around 141-144 seats, a significant rise from their previous tally of 133 seats in 2021. High turnout has historically played a key role in shaping results in the state, making this factor crucial in analyzing the 2026 election trends.

The DMK is banking on governance and welfare schemes to retain power, while the Opposition alliance is aiming to consolidate anti-incumbency votes. As results trickle in, all eyes are on how this new political landscape will unfold—and whether Vijay’s influence will be felt across Tamil Nadu.

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